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The Tempered Multistable Approach and Asset Return Modeling
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The Tempered Multistable Approach and Asset Return Modeling

Olivier Le Courtois
EMLYON
01/04/2014

Abstract

Typical approaches incorporating jumps in financial dynamics, such as the Variance Gamma and CGMY models, can be made to depart from the i.i.d. hypothesis by using a stochastic clock. In such a context, the introduction of a dispersion of the clock is equivalent to the introduction of a dispersion of the volatility itself. A distinct route that yields comparable features is that of adding a jump component to a stochastic volatility process, or of considering, in discrete time, leptokurtic innovations within a GARCH process. In this article, we take a third route and we provide a study on tempered multistable processes, which convey both jumps and autocorrelation from their very construction, and on some of their applications in finance. We obtain the multivariate characteristic function of the asymmetrical field-based tempered multistable process and we study the autocorrelations that stem from the use of this model. We concentrate on three types of applications in finance: we study the term structures of Value-at-Risk that can be obtained with this model, we perform a calibration on stock index data, and we also conduct a calibration on derivatives prices.
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